WWIBWN Stock scenarios
What would a stock investment be worth now?
Compare individual companies through business growth, market cycles, changing expectations and long-term compounding.
Monster Beverage in 2000 produced the largest current result in this category.
Different assets, stories and starting points to explore.
Historical returns do not predict future performance.
Monster Beverage in 2000
A small beverage company before the energy drink brand became a global compounder.
Nvidia
GPUs, AI infrastructure and a decade of compounding expectations.
AMD
A turnaround before Ryzen rebuilt the business.
Broadcom
Semiconductors, infrastructure software and AI networking behind the scenes.
TSMC
Advanced chip manufacturing behind smartphones, cloud computing and AI.
Tesla
EV conviction through production scares and volatility.
Eli Lilly
Healthcare growth before GLP-1 obesity and diabetes demand reshaped expectations.
Palantir
From direct listing to AI software re-rating.
ASML
Advanced lithography machines behind the world's most sophisticated chips.
Amazon
Retail scale, AWS and advertising in one business.
Microsoft
Cloud and AI reshaped a mature software giant.
Apple
The ecosystem kept compounding after the iPhone era.
MicroStrategy
A software company before its Bitcoin treasury strategy changed the whole thesis.
Costco
Membership revenue, customer loyalty and disciplined retail execution.
JPMorgan Chase
A dominant banking franchise through rates, regulation and credit cycles.
Mastercard
Cashless commerce, cross-border spending and global payment network effects.
Visa
Digital payments, network effects and an asset-light global toll road.
Cisco
Networking leadership, dividends and steady evolution towards recurring software revenue.
Walmart
Retail scale before omnichannel grocery, ecommerce and advertising matured.
Home Depot
Home improvement scale, housing cycles and disciplined retail execution.
UnitedHealth
Managed care, Optum and healthcare scale through policy and cost cycles.
McDonald's
Global franchising, digital ordering, pricing power and brand resilience.
Berkshire Hathaway
Patient capital allocation, insurance float and diversified compounding.
Adobe
Creative Cloud subscriptions, software pricing power and the AI disruption debate.
Intel
A former semiconductor leader navigating manufacturing setbacks and stronger competition.
Tencent
WeChat, gaming, payments and China tech regulation since 2015.
Coca-Cola
A durable global brand with dividends and steady compounding.
IBM
Enterprise technology, dividends and a long-running hybrid cloud reinvention.
AT&T
Telecom income, heavy debt, media expansion and a major strategic reset.
Novo Nordisk
Diabetes leadership before obesity drugs became a global healthcare theme.
Disney
Iconic entertainment brands tested by streaming economics and pandemic disruption.
What shapes stock returns?
Long-term stock returns reflect business growth, profitability, competitive advantage, valuation and the price investors are willing to pay for future earnings.
How to read these comparisons
Each scenario uses its stated starting date and historical market data. Results may differ from actual transactions because of fees, taxes, liquidity, currency movements, execution prices and data availability.
WWIBWN is educational only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Want a benchmark? Compare Nvidia with QQQ to put a major stock return in context.
Compare Nvidia with QQQ