WWIBWN

WWIBWN ETF scenarios

What would an ETF investment be worth now?

Compare broad-market, growth, value, sector, dividend, bond and commodity funds through different market cycles.

16 scenarios$1,000 comparisonsHistorical outcomesUpdated market data
Top return$22,706.45

SMH produced the largest current result in this category.

Scenarios16

Different assets, stories and starting points to explore.

ImportantHigh risk

Historical returns do not predict future performance.

SMHETF

SMH

Semiconductor sector exposure before the AI trade accelerated.

$1,000 worth now$22,706.4522.7x · 2,171% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open SMH scenario
XLKETF

XLK

Technology-sector exposure before mega-cap tech and AI dominated market leadership.

$1,000 worth now$10,412.7810.4x · 941% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open XLK scenario
VGTETF

VGT

Concentrated technology-sector exposure through cloud computing, digital transformation and AI.

$1,000 worth now$10,312.4610.3x · 931% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open VGT scenario
SPYETF

S&P 500 at the dot-com peak

A broad-market stress test from a painful March 2000 starting point.

$1,000 worth now$8,090.768.1x · 709% gain

2000-03-24 to 2026-10-09

Open S&P 500 at the dot-com peak scenario
QQQETF

QQQ at the dot-com peak

Nasdaq-100 exposure bought near the worst possible technology entry point.

$1,000 worth now$7,794.777.8x · 679% gain

2000-03-10 to 2026-10-09

Open QQQ at the dot-com peak scenario
QQQETF

QQQ

Nasdaq-100 exposure before mega-cap tech dominated.

$1,000 worth now$7,397.327.4x · 640% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open QQQ scenario
ARKKETF

ARKK

Actively managed disruptive-innovation exposure through a dramatic boom and reset.

$1,000 worth now$4,614.764.6x · 361% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open ARKK scenario
VOOETF

VOO

A simple S&P 500 benchmark for long-term U.S. market returns.

$1,000 worth now$4,479.994.5x · 348% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open VOO scenario
SPYETF

SPY

The original S&P 500 ETF benchmark.

$1,000 worth now$4,446.314.4x · 345% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open SPY scenario
VTIETF

VTI

Total U.S. stock market exposure in one fund.

$1,000 worth now$4,207.024.2x · 321% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open VTI scenario
SCHDETF

SCHD

Dividend-focused compounding compared with growth ETFs.

$1,000 worth now$3,637.193.6x · 264% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open SCHD scenario
GLDETF

GLD

Gold exposure as a contrast to stocks and crypto.

$1,000 worth now$3,373.513.4x · 237% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open GLD scenario
IWMETF

IWM

Broad U.S. small-cap exposure through economic cycles and mega-cap technology dominance.

$1,000 worth now$2,601.982.6x · 160% gain

2015-06-01 to 2026-10-09

Open IWM scenario
No scenarios match that search.

What shapes ETF returns?

ETF returns depend on the assets inside the fund, market cycles, fees, distributions, sector concentration and the starting valuation when the investment was made.

Broad market fundsVOO, SPY and VTI show broad U.S. market exposure through different index products.
Technology and sector fundsQQQ, SMH, VGT, XLK and ARKK show how concentrated themes can diverge from the wider market.
Growth, value and bondsVUG and VTV compare equity styles; TLT adds long-duration Treasury exposure. SCHD and GLD add dividend and gold comparisons.

How to read these comparisons

Each scenario uses its stated starting date and historical market data. Results may differ from actual transactions because of fees, taxes, liquidity, currency movements, execution prices and data availability.

WWIBWN is educational only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Compare growth and value funds over matching dates to see how investment style changed the result.

Compare VUG with VTV